When Will The Next Big Earthquake Hit?

| October 26, 2022



There is concern among Bay Area residents with an increase of seismic activity. On October 25, 2022, a 5.1 magnitude quake rocked San Jose, the largest in the Bay Area since a 6.0 magnitude earthquake hit near Napa, California in 2014. This earthquake took place along the Calaveras Fault, a branch of the San Andreas Fault, which runs 750 miles through California along the boundary between the Pacific and North American tectonic plates. The Calaveras Fault has caused multiple earthquakes, including the 1984 Morgan Hill 6.2 magnitude earthquake, and a 5.6 magnitude quake near Alum Rock, California in 2007.

On September 14, 2022, two earthquakes struck within one minute of each other near Santa Rosa. These events, which included a 4.4 magnitude temblor and a 4.3 aftershock, were felt across the Bay Area.  The quake stemmed from the Rodgers Creek fault, which researchers with the USGS have suggested could produce an extremely damaging earthquake impacting an area with over 7 million residents.  The Nest Cam video above recorded the 4.4 temblor.

The question on everyone's mind is when and where the next catastrophic earthquake will happen. The Bay Area hasn't had a major, catastrophic earthquake since 1989.  The Hayward Fault, for example, is predicted to have a major earthquake event every 150 years. With its last big quake in 1863, the Hayward Fault, which includes Berkeley, Oakland, Richmond, Fremont, and San Leandro is long overdue. For reference, that 6.8 magnitude quake was 900 times more powerful than the recent 4.4 Santa Rosa temblor.

4 Reasons to consider earthquake insurance:

  1. Repairs or replacement after an earthquake are your responsibility, as well as all your personal property.  Remember, homeowners policies exclude ALL earthquake losses. 
  2. Loss of Use (substitute housing for homeowners/loss of rental income for landlords), could cost you upwards of $100,000, as construction could take 2 years or more.  Earthquake insurance covers your substitute housing costs or your loss of rental income, less the deductible.
  3. You are still responsible for your mortgage, which can be financially devastating (foreclosure, bankruptcy) when you are already paying for substitute housing and repairs.
  4. Deductibles are now available for as high as 25%, making the premium more affordable.  Better to have 75% of your losses of repair and alternate housing covered than 0%, especially since a catastrophic loss could be multiple six figures.

Earthquake insurance is the only way to protect the equity of your home, your assets, and your income from the devastating, financially catastrophic loss of a major earthquake. Because we are an independent agent, we can look at several options for you, beyond the offer you see in your homeowners renewal. 

You cannot predict when or where the next big earthquake will hit. Proper insurance provides financial security, and peace of mind, so you don't have to risk it all. Contact us if you would like an earthquake insurance quote.

What should you do to prepare for an earthquake? Click here to make your safety plan today. Earthquake Emergency Plan